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Threat perception is central to decision making regarding war and the use of force; alliance politics; and the role of deterrence.  Exaggerations of threat make war more likely and  weaken the ability of an alliance to function effectively and rationally.  Since the end of World War II, the United States has consistently exaggerated the threat, particularly with regard to the Soviet Union during the Cold War.  Once again, the United States is embarking on a campaign of exaggerated threat perception as politicians and pundits exaggerate the “threat” of a so-called “resurgent” Russia and a so-called “aggressive” China. More

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This content originally appeared on and was authored by Melvin Goodman.


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